The Abuja Times

Wike Predicts Tinubu's Electoral Strength in 2027 Presidential Race

Federal Capital Territory Minister Nyesom Wike forecasts that President Bola Tinubu will secure at least 25% of votes in Northern Nigeria during the 2027 presidential election, while projecting a challenging landscape for Atiku Abubakar in the South.

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The Abuja Times

Thu, 3 Sept 2026• 2 min read
Wike Predicts Tinubu's Electoral Strength in 2027 Presidential Race
Wike Predicts Tinubu's Electoral Strength in 2027 Presidential Race — The Abuja Times Newsroom

In a bold assertion regarding the upcoming 2027 presidential election, Nyesom Wike, the Federal Capital Territory Minister, has expressed confidence in President Bola Tinubu's ability to garner a minimum of 25% of votes across Northern Nigeria. During a recent media interaction in Port Harcourt, Wike emphasized that former Vice President Atiku Abubakar would struggle to surpass the 10% threshold in various Southern states, marking a significant prediction in the lead-up to the elections.

Wike dismissed claims that President Tinubu’s support in the North is waning, labeling such analyses as unfounded. He urged political analysts to also consider Atiku’s prospects in the South, highlighting the dynamic and often unpredictable nature of Nigerian politics. “There is no way in the North that the president will not make 25 percent. There are so many places in the South that won’t have 10 percent,” Wike stated, reinforcing his position with a confident tone.

Illustrating his point, Wike specifically mentioned states within the North Central zone, asserting that Tinubu is poised for victories in Plateau, Nasarawa, Kwara, and Kogi. His projections, he insisted, are based on tangible political realities rather than mere speculation, reflecting a strategic insight into the electoral landscape.

Furthermore, Wike countered arguments suggesting that the current economic hardships faced by Nigerians could adversely affect Tinubu's re-election bid. He argued that historical trends indicate that economic distress has not significantly influenced electoral outcomes in the past, suggesting that voter sentiment may be driven by factors beyond economic conditions.

As the political atmosphere intensifies leading up to the elections, Wike's predictions provide a glimpse into the strategic calculations that will shape the campaigns of both major candidates. The political dynamics in Nigeria continue to evolve, and both Tinubu and Atiku will need to navigate these complexities to secure electoral success.

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